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2024-12-13 12:35:20

My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:However, today's high opening and low going do not belong to the current round at 3,227 points, and the upward trend has ushered in an inflection point. After all, yesterday's good news will not affect A shares overnight.


Has the market ended this round of rise?1. The market covered the gap on Wednesday and supported at 3400 points. The rest of this week fluctuated upward. After the market walked out of the day trip, the irrational rise today, including the differences after the high opening and the fall, was digested in the remaining days, and the index rose above 3500 points in the later period.The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.


2. On Wednesday, the market broke 3,400 points, and recently fell to 3,230 points, forming a double-top decline of 3,500 points, and then bottomed out at 3,230 points to form a double bottom, and walked out of the narrow range of 3,200 points and 3,500 points.Happily, after the close, it stabilized at least above 3,400 points. Although the midday index fell further, individual stocks still rose by more than 2,800 points, with 115 daily limit stocks. At least not yet after the high opening and falling back, the market's general decline came. The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is also 2 trillion yuan, and the volume exceeds 500 billion yuan.The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.

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